ⓘ Porters five forces analysis
Porters Five Forces Framework is a method for analyzing competition of a business. It draws from industrial organization economics to derive five forces that determine the competitive intensity and, therefore, the attractiveness of an industry in terms of its profitability. An "unattractive" industry is one in which the effect of these five forces reduces overall profitability. The most unattractive industry would be one approaching "pure competition", in which available profits for all firms are driven to normal profit levels. The five-forces perspective is associated with its originator, Michael E. Porter of Harvard University. This framework was first published in Harvard Business Review in 1979.
Porter refers to these forces as the microenvironment, to contrast it with the more general term macroenvironment. They consist of those forces close to a company that affect its ability to serve its customers and make a profit. A change in any of the forces normally requires a business unit to re-assess the marketplace given the overall change in industry information. The overall industry attractiveness does not imply that every firm in the industry will return the same profitability. Firms are able to apply their core competencies, business model or network to achieve a profit above the industry average. A clear example of this is the airline industry. As an industry, profitability is low because the industrys underlying structure of high fixed costs and low variable costs afford enormous latitude in the price of airline travel. Airlines tend to compete on cost, and that drives down the profitability of individual carriers as well as the industry itself because it simplifies the decision by a customer to buy or not buy a ticket. A few carriers--Richard Bransons Virgin Atlantic is one--have tried, with limited success, to use sources of differentiation in order to increase profitability.
Porters five forces include three forces from horizontal competition--the threat of substitute products or services, the threat of established rivals, and the threat of new entrants--and two others from vertical competition--the bargaining power of suppliers and the bargaining power of customers.
Porter developed his five forces framework in reaction to the then-popular SWOT analysis, which he found both lacking in rigor and ad hoc. Porters five-forces framework is based on the structure–conduct–performance paradigm in industrial organizational economics. Other Porter strategy tools include the value chain and generic competitive strategies.
1.1. Five Forces 1* Threat of new entrants
Profitable industries that yield high returns will attract new entities. New entrants eventually will decrease profitability for other firms in the industry. Unless the entry of new firms can be made more difficult by incumbents, abnormal profitability will fall towards zero perfect competition, which is the minimum level of profitability required to keep an industry in business.
The following factors can have an effect on how much of a threat new entrants may pose:
- Expected retaliation - For example, a specific characteristics of oligopoly markets is that prices generally settle at an equilibrium because any price rises or cuts are easily matched by the competition.
- The existence of barriers to entry. The most attractive segment is one in which entry barriers are high and exit barriers are low. Its worth noting, however, that high barriers to entry almost always make exit more difficult.
- Absolute cost
- Government policy such as sanctioned monopolies, legal franchise requirements, or regulatory requirements.
- Economies of scale
- Brand equity
- Access to distribution channels
- Capital requirements - clearly the Internet has influenced this factor dramatically. Web sites and apps can be launched cheaply and easily as opposed to the brick and mortar industries of the past.
- Customer loyalty to established brands. This can be accompanied by large brand advertising expenditures or similar mechanisms of maintained brand equity.
- Product differentiation
- Switching costs are well illustrated by structural market characteristics such as supply chain integration but also can be created by firms. Airline frequent flyer programs are an example.
- Cost advantage independent of size
- Industry profitability the more profitable the industry, the more attractive it will be to new competitors
1.2. Five Forces 2* Threat of substitutes
A substitute product uses a different technology to try to solve the same economic need. Examples of substitutes are meat, poultry, and fish; landlines and cellular telephones; airlines, automobiles, trains, and ships; beer and wine; and so on. For example, tap water is a substitute for Coke, but Pepsi is a product that uses the same technology albeit different ingredients to compete head-to-head with Coke, so it is not a substitute. Increased marketing for drinking tap water might "shrink the pie" for both Coke and Pepsi, whereas increased Pepsi advertising would likely "grow the pie" increase consumption of all soft drinks, while giving Pepsi a larger market share at Cokes expense.
- Number of substitute products available in the market
- Buyers switching costs. This factor is well illustrated by the mobility industry. Uber and its many competitors took advantage of the incumbent taxi industrys dependence on legal barriers to entry and when those fell away, it was trivial for customers to switch. There were no costs as every transaction was atomic, with no incentive for customers not to try another product.
- Relative price performance of substitute
- Availability of close substitute
- Perceived level of product differentiation which is classic Michael Porter in the sense that there are only two basic mechanisms for competition - lowest price or differentiation. Developing multiple products for niche markets is one way to mitigate this factor.
- Buyer propensity to substitute. This aspect incorporated both tangible and intangible factors. Brand loyalty can be very important as in the Coke and Pepsi example above; however contractual and legal barriers are also effective.
- Ease of substitution
1.3. Five Forces 3* Bargaining power of customers
The bargaining power of customers is also described as the market of outputs: the ability of customers to put the firm under pressure, which also affects the customers sensitivity to price changes. Firms can take measures to reduce buyer power, such as implementing a loyalty program. Buyers power is high if buyers have many alternatives. It is low if they have few choices.
- Degree of dependency upon existing channels of distribution
- Bargaining leverage, particularly in industries with high fixed costs
- Availability of existing substitute products
- Buyer switching costs
- Buyer information availability
- Differential advantage uniqueness of industry products
- Buyer concentration to firm concentration ratio
- Buyer price sensitivity
- RFM customer value Analysis
1.4. Five Forces 4* Bargaining power of suppliers
The bargaining power of suppliers is also described as the market of inputs. Suppliers of raw materials, components, labor, and services such as expertise to the firm can be a source of power over the firm when there are few substitutes. If you are making biscuits and there is only one person who sells flour, you have no alternative but to buy it from them. Suppliers may refuse to work with the firm or charge excessively high prices for unique resources.
Potential factors are:
- Presence of substitute inputs
- Degree of differentiation of inputs
- Strength of distribution channel
- Supplier switching costs relative to firm switching costs
- Supplier concentration to firm concentration ratio
- Employee solidarity e.g. labor unions
- Supplier competition: the ability to forward vertically integrate and cut out the buyer.
- Impact of inputs on cost and differentiation
1.5. Five Forces 5* Competitive rivalry
For most industries the intensity of competitive rivalry is the major determinant of the competitiveness of the industry. Having an understanding of industry rivals is vital to successfully marketing a product. Positioning pertains to how the public perceives a product and distinguishes it from competitors. An organization must be aware of its competitors marketing strategies and pricing and also be reactive to any changes made.
- Firm concentration ratio
- Sustainable competitive advantage through innovation
- Powerful competitive strategy which could potentially be realized by adhering to Porters work on low cost versus differentiation.
- Level of advertising expense
- Competition between online and offline organizations
Strategy consultants occasionally use Porters five forces framework when making a qualitative evaluation of a firms strategic position. However, for most consultants, the framework is only a starting point and value chain analysis or another type of analysis may be used in conjunction with this model. Like all general frameworks, an analysis that uses it to the exclusion of specifics about a particular situation is considered naïve.
According to Porter, the five forces framework should be used at the line-of-business industry level; it is not designed to be used at the industry group or industry sector level. An industry is defined at a lower, more basic level: a market in which similar or closely related products and/or services are sold to buyers see industry information. A firm which competes in a single industry should develop, at a minimum, one five forces analysis for its industry. Porter makes clear that for diversified companies, the primary issue in corporate strategy is the selection of industries lines of business in which the company will compete. The average Fortune Global 1.000 company competes in 52 industries.
Porters framework has been challenged by other academics and strategists. For instance, Kevin P. Coyne and Somu Subramaniam claim that three dubious assumptions underlie the five forces:
- That uncertainty is low, allowing participants in a market to plan for and respond to changes in competitive behavior.
- That the source of value is structural advantage creating barriers to entry.
- That buyers, competitors, and suppliers are unrelated and do not interact and collude.
Also, the last chapter of the book: "Age of agile" attributes the bankruptcy of Porters firm to the outdated nature of his model around competitiveness instead of creating customer value and not making the customers at the center of the universe, i.e customer centricity.
An important extension to Porters work came from Adam Brandenburger and Barry Nalebuff of Yale School of Management in the mid-1990s. Using game theory, they added the concept of complementors also called "the 6th force" to try to explain the reasoning behind strategic alliances. Complementors are known as the impact of related products and services already in the market. The idea that complementors are the sixth force has often been credited to Andrew Grove, former CEO of Intel Corporation. Martyn Richard Jones, while consulting at Groupe Bull, developed an augmented five forces model in Scotland in 1993. It is based on Porters Framework and includes Government national and regional as well as pressure groups as the notional 6th force. This model was the result of work carried out as part of Groupe Bulls Knowledge Asset Management Organisation initiative.
Porter indirectly rebutted the assertions of other forces, by referring to innovation, government, and complementary products and services as "factors" that affect the five forces.
It is also perhaps not feasible to evaluate the attractiveness of an industry independently of the resources that a firm brings to that industry. It is thus argued Wernerfelt 1984 that this theory be combined with the resource-based view RBV in order for the firm to develop a sounder framework.